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Cyclone Senyar Alert 2025: Is Bay of Bengal Storm Heading Towards Bengal.? Winter Cold Wave & Heavy Rain Forecast

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§  Cyclone Senyar 2025 Latest Update

§  IMD warns Bay of Bengal storm may form by Nov 26

§  Get complete weather forecast for Chennai, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kolkata, West Bengal

§  Know cyclone path, landfall prediction, heavy rain alert

Kolkata, November 25, 2025: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has confirmed that a well-marked low-pressure area over the Strait of Malacca and South Andaman Sea is rapidly intensifying. According to the latest IMD bulletin dated November 24-25, 2025, this weather system is very likely to develop into a depression within the next 24 hours and potentially strengthen into Cyclonic Storm ‘Senyar’ by November 26-27. While the cyclone poses no direct threat to West Bengal, the changing wind patterns may bring significant weather shifts across the eastern coast of India.

What is Cyclone Senyar.?

The developing storm system in the Bay of Bengal has been named ‘Senyar’ – a name contributed by the United Arab Emirates that means “Lion” in Arabic. This will be the second cyclonic storm of the current post-monsoon season if it forms as predicted. The naming follows international protocols where countries submit names in rotation for tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean region.

Current Status (November 25, 2025)

According to the latest IMD update, the weather system has shown the following critical developments,  

Parameter

Status

Current Location

Southeast Bay of Bengal

Movement Direction

West-northwestward

Expected Development

Depression by Nov 24-25, Cyclone by Nov 26-27

Wind Speed Prediction

65-80 kmph, gusting to 90 kmph

Sea Conditions

Rough to very rough

Landfall Prediction

Weather models including GFS, ECMWF, GEFS and ICON are currently indicating that Cyclone Senyar may make landfall near the Andhra Pradesh coast, possibly between Srikakulam and Visakhapatnam, around November 29-30. Some models also suggest the storm could approach the Chennai coast during the same period. The exact landfall point remains uncertain with meteorologists awaiting further developments.

Official Quotes & Expert Analysis

IMD Scientist Sanjeev Dwivedi stated that the system would move “in a west-northwest direction” and gradually intensify over the coming days.

·       B. Amudha, Head (Additional in-charge), RMC Chennai noted: “The interaction of three weather systems—including another cyclonic circulation over the southeast Arabian Sea—is contributing to dynamic changes in rainfall behaviour. We are monitoring the possibility of the system near the Strait of Malacca merging with the one over the Comorin area”.

·       Mahesh Palawat, Vice-President of Meteorology at Skymet explained: “In all probability, the cyclonic storm will move towards the south Andhra Pradesh coast, between Srikakulam and Visakhapatnam. There will be heavy rains over the north coastal districts”.

·       Telangana Weatherman on X (Twitter) stated: “CYCLONE SENYAR LOADING – The next system is definitely going to be a Cyclone/Deep Depression. It will be a hybrid type of 2018 Phethai and 2025 Montha Cyclone”.

Heavy Rainfall Warning: State-by-State Breakdown

Andaman & Nicobar Islands (Highest Alert - RED)

·       Red Alert issued for extremely heavy rainfall

·       Heavy to very heavy rainfall (105-204mm) expected from November 25-29

·       Wind speeds of 45-55 kmph, gusting to 65 kmph

·       Fishermen advised NOT to venture into the sea until November 28

·       Tourists and residents in low-lying areas asked to follow daily weather updates

Tamil Nadu & Puducherry

·       Orange Alert for Thanjavur, Tiruvarur, Nagapattinam on November 28

·       Orange Alert for Chennai, Kancheepuram, Tiruvallur, Chengalpattu on November 29-30

·       Very heavy rainfall (12-20 cm in 24 hours) predicted

·       Schools closed in several districts as precautionary measure

·       Yellow Alert for southern districts on November 25

Kerala & Mahe

·       Heavy rainfall forecast from November 24-26

·       Very heavy rainfall at isolated places expected

·       Orange alerts for Tenkasi and Tirunelveli with heavy to extremely heavy rainfall in hilly regions

Coastal Andhra Pradesh

·       Yellow Alert issued for coastal districts

·       Heavy rainfall likely on November 29-30

·       Visakhapatnam, Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Kakinada and 10+ districts on high alert

·       Evacuations starting in vulnerable areas

West Bengal Weather Update: What to Expect.?

Direct Impact on Bengal

The good news for West Bengal residents: IMD has confirmed no direct impact from Cyclone Senyar on the state. However, wind patterns may change during the last week of November. The cyclone’s trajectory indicates it will likely move towards Tamil Nadu-Andhra Pradesh coast or recurve towards Bangladesh without significantly affecting Bengal.

Kolkata Weather Forecast (November 25-30, 2025)

Date

Max Temp

Min Temp

Conditions

Nov 25

27°C

17°C

Morning fog, clear later

Nov 26-28

28°C

17-19°C

Dry, pleasant​

Nov 29-30

29°C

18-19°C

Cloudy patches, slight moisture increase

Key highlights for Kolkata

·       Current minimum temperature: 16.4°C (coldest of the season so far)

·       First time this season mercury dropped to 16-degree range

·       Morning fog/smog expected, clear skies by afternoon

·       Dry weather conditions to continue for next 4-5 days

·       No rain or storm predicted in Kolkata

Temperature Readings Across Bengal

Location

Temperature

Remarks

Kolkata

16-18°C (min)

Coldest Nov 11 in 10 years

Darjeeling

4.4°C - 5°C

Season’s coldest

Purulia

12-14°C​

Lowest in plains

Western Districts

13-14°C

Below normal

Suri

14.2°C​

Lowest in South Bengal plains

Winter Season Update

The state has finally witnessed the arrival of winter after a delayed start. However, meteorologists predict that intense cold wave conditions (Jakiye Shit) will only arrive in December’s second week, not in November. North Bengal experienced a western disturbance passage and now dry weather is expected.

Fog Alert for Bengal

·       Light to moderate fog expected across North and South Bengal districts

·       Higher fog probability in

o   North Bengal: Cooch Behar, Jalpaiguri, Alipurduar

o   South Bengal: Coastal districts and hilly areas of Darjeeling

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Impact Analysis

Economic Impact

·       Fishing Industry: Major losses expected as fishermen advised to stay off the sea until November 28

·       Tourism: Andaman & Nicobar tourism may face significant disruption

·       Agriculture: Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh farmers preparing for heavy rainfall impact

·       Transport: Road and rail services may be disrupted in coastal districts

Travel Advisory

·       Travelers to Andaman advised to postpone trips

·       Sea travel in Bay of Bengal not recommended until November 28

·       Chennai domestic and international flights may face delays from November 29-30

·       Coastal road travel in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh should be avoided

Infrastructure Preparedness

·       Tamil Nadu government has initiated emergency preparedness measures

·       Odisha minister Suresh Pujari confirmed: “We have made advance preparedness and additional measures so that the government machinery can easily tackle the system”

·       NDRF teams deployed in coastal areas

Northeast Monsoon Update

The Northeast Monsoon has been active over South Peninsular India since October 15. After recording impressive rainfall in October (second-highest since 2001 at 112.2mm), the monsoon activity slumped in November. Tamil Nadu, which was facing a seasonal rain deficit until recently, has now swung into surplus territory by 5% as of Monday, following continuous rainfall. Total recorded rainfall since October 1 stands at 34 cm, surpassing the seasonal norm of 32.3 cm.

The northeast monsoon is crucial for,

·       Tamil Nadu and Puducherry

·       Coastal Andhra Pradesh

·       Rayalaseema

·       Kerala and Mahe

·       South Interior Karnataka

Winter Cold Wave Across India

An early winter chill has gripped large parts of the country, making November feel like peak winter,  

City/Region

Temperature

Anomaly

Delhi

8.7°C (min)​

Earliest single-digit in 11 years

Bhopal

8-10°C

Strong cold wave

Indore

12°C

Coldest November night

Pune

9.4°C

Coldest Nov morning in 9 years

Maharashtra

5-8°C below normal​

Severe cold wave

The IMD has attributed this early cold spell to clear skies and dry northwesterly winds blowing from snow-covered regions in the Himalayas. Minimum temperatures across India remained 2-6°C below normal throughout the first half of November.

Conclusion

While Cyclone Senyar poses no direct threat to West Bengal, the weather dynamics across the Bay of Bengal will significantly impact coastal states. Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and the Andaman & Nicobar Islands should remain on high alert from November 25-30. Bengal residents can enjoy pleasant winter weather with morning fog and clear afternoon skies. The real winter intensity (Jakiye Shit) is expected only after mid-December.

The system’s exact trajectory will become clearer by November 26 when it is expected to reach cyclonic storm intensity. Until then, all coastal residents from Andaman to Odisha should monitor IMD bulletins closely and follow safety advisories.

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